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erps
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  The Bet on Play-Offs Thread (next try) Sun, 05 November 2006 00:56
Hi

Last year i tried, this year next try

My guesses for quarterfinal:

REthink vs Austria
4:1 (of course!)

1 womble ========== Angel6
2 Whitetrain ====== staycool
3 TTR Silvertrian = dea1
4 erps ============ Streetcar Endstation
5 sebbo =========== Wernerus

Red TGV vs Underdogs
3:2

1 kotay - Gerwurztraminer = Donald & Daisy
2 Fandan-Haut-medoc ======= Volleytom
3 Davidb9-Mercury ========= Horo
4 Toutoune-Morgan ========= Ur-Spock
5 Elric-Sancerre ========== Adriano

FingShui vs OLE
2:3

1 FS-make 72 ==== OLE-Masimo
2 FS-Leleline_E = OLE-shamogi
3 FS-Jac ======== OLE-WW
4 FS-Anu_ ======= OLE-deep_blue
5 FS-Leline_J === OLE-Nayeli

GTS vs HS
3:2

1 GTS-Goscha === Drakestorm
2 GTS-Train ==== The Kid
3 GTS-Tofra ==== Tprail
4 GTS-An-team == SKMorefield
5 GTS-Mudda ==== psteinx

bye, erps

@Spud: The One leaves some options if i bet this for money Wink

[Updated on: Sun, 05 November 2006 01:21]

      
player 577453
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Re:The Bet on Play-Offs Thread (next try) Sun, 05 November 2006 01:18
Erps is the 1 loss u are predicting for Re think your own ? Laughing
      
Elric - Sancerre
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Re:The Bet on Play-Offs Thread (next try) Sun, 05 November 2006 01:59
I'm really surprised, erps.... that you didn't bet on 4 Shocked German teams in semifinal !

Thanks Wink
      
Zeno
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Re:The Bet on Play-Offs Thread (next try) Sun, 05 November 2006 04:43
New worksheets should be up soon at shamogi's site

odds based on probabilistic reasoning using current ELO

Red TGV over Underdogs 76%
Rethink over Austria 67%
OLE over FS 54%
HS over GTS 53%

The last two are basically toss-ups, while neither of the first two is assured.

This is fun!

Match highlights, involving a pair of 1700+ titans:
womble v angel6
erps v streetcar-Endstation
Lele_E v shamogi
Anu_ v deep_blue
Lele_J v nayeli
train v thekid
tofra v tprail
An-Team v SKMorefield
mudda v psteinx

[edit: had to change odds because I did not realize playoffs were best of seven]

[Updated on: Sun, 05 November 2006 05:23]

      
toutoune - Morgon
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Re:The Bet on Play-Offs Thread (next try) Sun, 05 November 2006 11:05
i like bet:

ReThink - Austria: 2-3

Red - Underdogs: 5-0

FingShui - OLE : 3-2

GTS - HS: 2-3

TA TA TAM

Oups, no german anymore in semi Smile
      
dea1
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Re:The Bet on Play-Offs Thread (next try) Sun, 05 November 2006 12:00
erps schrieb am Sun, 05 November 2006 00:56

Hi

Last year i tried, this year next try

My guesses for quarterfinal:
...



The numbers you guess seem reasonable to me, erps. Rolling Eyes

Just one small mistake to correct - the order in which you name the teams (should be alphabetical, right?) is wrong in one occasion. Twisted Evil
      
RFAD - Saint-Emilion
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Re:The Bet on Play-Offs Thread (next try) Sun, 05 November 2006 17:02
{1   ReThink   2} 
{5   Austria   3} -- Austria -- )
                                )
{7     OLE     2} --    FS   -- )        
{6     FS      3}                
             
          
{3     GTS     3}                  
{2     HS      2} --    GTS  ---)
                                )
{8  Underdogs  1} -- Red TGV ---)
{4   Red TGV   4}
      
erps
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Re:The Bet on Play-Offs Thread (next try) Mon, 06 November 2006 23:39
Hi

toutoune - Morgon schrieb am Sun, 05 November 2006 11:05

i like bet:
ReThink - Austria: 2-3
Red - Underdogs: 5-0
TA TA TAM
Oups, no german anymore in semi Smile


Requiem For A Dream schrieb am Sun, 05 November 2006 17:02

{1   ReThink   2} 
{5   Austria   3} -- Austria -- )



I ReThink, some people should bet with reason and not with personal repugnances in mind
Rolling Eyes
      
OLE sebbo
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Re:The Bet on Play-Offs Thread (next try) Thu, 09 November 2006 21:58
Hmmmmmmmmm.......


I think someone has to ReThink something Cool Cool Cool Cool Cool Cool Cool Cool Cool Cool Cool Cool Cool Cool Cool Cool Cool Cool Cool Cool Cool Cool Cool
      
toutoune - Morgon
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Re:The Bet on Play-Offs Thread (next try) Fri, 10 November 2006 09:36
congrats Underdogs and germans

Knowing i had lost my bet since ReThink had won against Austria, we prefered to lose against Underdogs, so erps can't win with his bet anymore. Very Happy

FINGSHUI TA TA TAM

      
Zeno
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Re:The Bet on Play-Offs Thread (next try) Sat, 11 November 2006 20:25
Before the playoffs began one wild possibility was suggested, that we could have an all-German semifinals. No-one really thought that was such a good possibility, but we are potentially one match away from a massive coincidence.

But if the match goes the other way, there will be a coincidence that is just as large, that group A will sweep group B. If any one had made either of those bets they would have been laughed at, but tomorrow they could be rich.

So which should you cheer for, an All-German Semi, or an All-Group A Semi?



OLEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE

[Updated on: Sat, 11 November 2006 20:25]

      
    
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